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Urban land expansion under economic transition in China: A multi-level modeling analysis

Author: Zhiji Huang
Source: Habitat International
Publication date: 2015
Subject terms: Urban land expansion; Marketization; Globalization; Decentralization; Multi-level modeling; China
Document type:
Abstract: China is undergoing an unprecedented urbanization process in which massive amounts of rural land has been converted to urban use. Indeed, rapid urban land expansion in China has generated heightened concerns over consequences of urbanization and challenges to sustainability and public policy. This study applies the triple transition framework of globalization, marketization, and decentralization to study how economic transition influences urban land expansion in China. Using official land use conveyance data from 2005 to 2008, we have found that significant spatial variation at both provincial and prefectural levels exist in urban land expansion. Regression analysis at the prefectural level reveals that the theoretical framework explains urban land expansion. While marketization is more important to overall urban land expansion, globalization plays a critical role in industrial land expansion. Further applying a multi-level modeling analysis, we find that two-level modeling can considerately improve the model and, more importantly, decentralization significantly contributes to the expansion of construction and industrial land
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